| To prevent a feeling of lost confidence from setting
in, most Governments will attempt to inflate the economy
during a slowdown. The basic monetary strategies include
progressively increasing public expenditure and/or money
supply, lowering interest rates and allowing the currency
to devalue freely.
The Hong Kong scenario though is that interest rates
have already hit rock bottom and we are still flooded
with easy credit for those who don't really need it
and probably don't want it. The financial regulators,
however, will not freely let our banks lend money to
those who have a real need (i.e. those in possession
of negative assets).
Devaluation of the Hong Kong dollar can be another
viable economic option, notwithstanding that it is heavy
medicine with strong undesirable side effects, which
our timorous officials are trying to tell us is a matter
too sensitive for public debate.
Under the looming threat of a possible structural fiscal
deficit, the single most significant item of public
expenditure that the Government seems happy to increase
is its own salaries. Meanwhile, the frustrated community
is besieged with bad news. It is told 'day-in and day-out'
that the world's economy, like its confidence index,
is still spiraling down. Massive downsizing and company
collapses hit many families like bombshells.
Hong Kong has always been a 'can do' place. If only
the officials would open their minds, there are plenty
of creative and helpful suggestions in town that 'can
be done' and do not cost a fortune. I have picked up
quite a few of these ideas myself in just a week! I
believe that they merit our Government's considerations:
Firstly, the Government can push, much more vigorously
and visibly, for equal treatment of our businesses and
professionals in mainland China. For example, the Government
could:
-
support our professionals, such as
accountants and lawyers, in their efforts to negotiate
for the reciprocal rights to practise and to provide
professional services in China
-
support our banking, insurance, stockbrokers
and other financial services sectors to set up their
businesses in mainland China, in the same way they
have established, without restriction, their business
interests here in Hong Kong
-
help gain free access for our many
listed companies to seek secondary listings in China
and to tap into their growing source of low cost
equity funding
-
assist in obtaining permission from
the Mainland for our companies to engage in acquisitions
and mergers with China-listed companies
-
consider issuing a business category
of the multiple entry visa to Mainland businessmen
who needs to visit Hong Kong regularly to help us
create wealth and procure the support of the PRC,
and
-
ask the Government Committee preparing
Hong Kong for the impact of China's entry into WTO
to report on our state of readiness and assure us
that we will have an equal and fair chance to compete
with our Mainland counterparts on all aspects of
our economic activities.
We can boost the hotel and tourism industry by:
-
opening up to greater competition,
temporarily or permanently, to take in more inbound
flights and tourists
-
updating the Tsimshatsui shoreline
by redesigning, through international competition
and redeveloping those outmoded cultural facilities
that are no longer world class, and
-
sponsoring major international music
and cultural festivals that would attract the world's
attention to the fact that Hong Kong is not just
a business and shopping centre.
We should start investing serious money into cleaning
up Hong Kong as its pollution is already a well-known
deterrent to overseas investors, tourists and skilled
professionals alike.
We should promote growth in the long-term debt market
at a time when the equity share market is weak, liquidity
is high and the Mandatory Provident Funds are all looking
for a safe shelter to invest locally.
I do not believe in throwing money at economic problems,
but I still think that the time is right to unlock the
safe to our fiscal reserves. The problem of sagging
confidence requires a community response rather than
top down leadership. The people of Hong Kong have to
start believing in themselves before other business
partners will believe in us.
A turbulent time tests the inner strength, creativity
and resolve of a community collectively. Our economic
structures and financial markets have operated smoothly
despite difficult times. They have stood up to the tests
well. It is now time to put our social and political
structures to the challenge. Could we one day achieve
a community consensus, including members of LegCo, that
will join hands with the Government to put aside party
differences and work towards leading our society out
of this maze of gloom?
Adapted from 'Letter to Hong Kong'
aired on RTHK on 16 September 2001. Eric
Li is the Accountancy Functional Constituency Representative
on LegCo. His website can be found at http://www.ericli.org. |