Our Government was quite rattled
by bad news of our public finances last month. Shortly
after the downgrade of its future rating by the influential
international credit agency Standard and Poor's, the
Government released its own interim financial results
that showed a record high budget deficit of over HK$70
billion. Expert analysis indicates that the problem
is clearly structural rather than cyclical. The skeptical
public remains absolutely unconvinced that the financial
secretary has a foolproof and workable plan to tackle
this widening budget deficit. The politicians, economists
and government critics may have many varied solutions
to offer. But most of them will only skim the surface
of the problem. At least for the time being, the community
is in need of some clear direction out of this unhappy
state of affairs.
I believe that it is time for the Government
to respond swiftly to tackle this community-wide concern.
The serious deficit is a gaping wound to our financial
stability that needs immediate redress. There is no
room for inaction or blind fatalism by just wishing
the problem will go away when the economy recovers.
We need a Government that will clearly and honestly
recognize the source of the problem. A team of ministers
who are determined to steadfastly reset Government priorities
to focus on core values and services. A financial secretary
who is able to identify the necessary resources to carry
out its master plan and the unwavering political will
to put those plans into action. Then last but certainly
not least, an Executive Council headed by the Chief
Executive that possesses the political acumen to lead
the community to reach a social contract that maintains
the delicate balance of our numerous sectoral interests.
To my mind, there is no doubt that
the root cause of the structural deficit is in the over
spending of the Government. The telltale signs are clear.
In response to the rapidly rising public expectations
in the last decade, our Government has also expanded
hurriedly in terms of head counts, administrative functions
and in the variety of public services delivered. The
growth was so significant that even at the peak of our
economic boom years during the late 90s, the recurrent
income of the Budget was still barely sufficient to
cover its recurrent expenditure. As we all know that
the economy will rise and will fall in cycles, it should
be no surprise to anyone that the government's income
will also follow broadly cyclical movements. The Government
must never rely on short-term windfall gains from land
sales and speculative stock and share values again to
finance public services and to make project commitments
with long-term recurrent expenditure implications.
The newly commissioned Ministerial
System needs to win quick and sure approval from the
community. However, it is probably finding it easier
said than done without the much desired additional financial
resources to hand. In the midst of a deep recession
and low morale, the private and business sectors are
not exactly ready to leap in response to ministerial
calls from expensive reform. Most of us are probably
happy just to be left alone for a while to lick our
wounds and recover. It is hardly the time to push too
many ambitious reforms all at once no matter how worthy
they may seems in principle.
I believe that the first and the greatest
accountability that this Government must collectively
face is to show us how to run a tight ship and to remain
financially afloat. The success story of Hong Kong is
not built on a populist Government that might risks
leaving Hong Kong in financial shambles later. Our Ministers
must exercise self-restraint and to learn when to put
personal ambitions on hold.
As a whole, the Government should resolve
to tackle this mini-budgetary crisis. The scare resources
must be first put to areas in which the free markets
of the private sector cannot readily provide for. Otherwise,
steps should be taken to outsource the services or to
privatise services so as to minimise unwarranted Government
subsidies. The Ministers should also question themselves
whether or not any new reforms that require substantial
financial resources are 'urgent and essential' rather
than just simply desirable. A responsible Government
must not be afraid to say no when making difficult choices
in the light of the present financial hardship. On the
other hand, a Government only eager to please and ponder
indecisively would not inspire confidence in leading
us out of this maze.
Whilst the Government is full of plans
but lacks the immediate financial resources because
of budgetary constraints, the private sector is in an
entirely different situation. The community is actually
flushed with idle funds in the form of some HK$4,000
billion in bank deposits or equivalents that are low
yield. This is surely a clear sign of shortage of investment
opportunities in the private sector. I suggest the Government
make a determined attempt to harness and provide proper
incentives for the private sector to participate in
public sector investments such as our road and transportation
systems, education and medical services etc. Hong Kong
has a very successful track record of partnership with
the private sector in power generation and port facilities
in the past. But when the going has been good in more
recent times, it has begun to take almost everything
upon itself, sometimes even in competition with the
private sector.
All the private sector requires to
participate is a sense of fair play by our Government
and an investment environment with a reasonable degree
of certainty and stability. The Government has a particularly
crucial role to play here in the increasingly politicised
environment where politicians are hungry to score short-term
political gains.
The community would no doubt desire
that our Government to invest in the future. They would
also need to be convinced that private sector participation
is better than Government lending and raising taxes
such as the Sales Tax. But it should be apparent now
that taking further borrowings to finance a continuous
spending spree by the Government is perhaps not a solution
but merely procrastination in dealing with the root
problem. It is not the right time to introduce major
regressive taxes like the sales tax. If the Government
is keep too busy combating a host of interest groups
on a wide battlefront over just a few minor tax increases
that will only raise nominal revenues, it might miss
spending time to unlock the fully loaded bank vault
that is waiting to be tapped.
It is the Government's job to lead
and persuade the community with the immense political
means at its command. Politics should be deployed as
a tool of the Government rather than being used as an
excuse for self-limitation and inaction. What the community
desire is a fair deal where everyone plays a contributory
part. There is no reason for the Government to ponder
further if it is committed to taking on its fair share
of the work.
Dr Eric Li is the LegCo
Accountancy Functional Constituency Representative.
For more information, refer to his website at
http://www.ericli.org |